Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.186033 3.791280 4.514254 5.451571 6.649474 8.149697 1.020389e+01
2024-10-06 2.320759 3.045365 4.030024 5.506657 7.740244 11.127254 1.694199e+01
2024-10-13 1.857851 2.580595 3.641148 5.383233 8.328742 13.439530 2.386772e+01
2024-10-20 1.627471 2.369264 3.530319 5.594650 9.455470 17.072406 3.561408e+01
2024-10-27 1.402477 2.112966 3.279478 5.482514 9.944048 19.730213 4.756108e+01
2024-11-03 1.317903 2.060547 3.345379 5.942058 11.709809 26.098414 7.620597e+01
2024-11-10 1.211116 1.949850 3.282531 6.129745 12.968455 32.090316 1.129407e+02
2024-11-17 1.136194 1.881168 3.280585 6.439055 14.654250 40.591994 1.778054e+02
2024-11-24 1.035761 1.750354 3.133383 6.386452 15.384825 46.716536 2.483085e+02
2024-12-01 0.964404 1.663822 3.059276 6.484954 16.600072 55.834909 3.749794e+02
2024-12-08 0.897616 1.576999 2.969480 6.521970 17.662116 65.587622 5.643762e+02
2024-12-15 0.855272 1.532876 2.963702 6.775375 19.586233 82.009143 9.858874e+02
2024-12-22 0.780069 1.423551 2.819746 6.691338 20.590436 97.268909 1.712706e+03
2024-12-29 0.720219 1.340926 2.729274 6.758860 22.384548 122.834571 3.772337e+03
2025-01-05 0.656831 1.241344 2.578991 6.599278 23.161216 143.987908 7.720077e+03
2025-01-12 0.623244 1.201771 2.567337 6.873236 26.195539 196.606207 3.131521e+04
2025-01-19 0.574628 1.122186 2.440372 6.727826 27.091864 232.412348 1.085134e+05
2025-01-26 0.561605 1.121723 2.518482 7.325043 32.720112 368.252712 1.805777e+07
2025-02-02 0.535732 1.087700 2.500139 7.569934 36.659395 520.208812 NaN
2025-02-09 0.517124 1.068519 2.519456 7.974707 42.355800 803.703893 NaN
2025-02-16 0.485855 1.014628 2.429901 7.905767 44.539285 1034.411694 NaN
2025-02-23 0.463050 0.979221 2.388977 8.034897 48.692840 1482.971902 NaN
2025-03-02 0.440151 0.941037 2.333495 8.083460 52.364806 2091.711441 NaN